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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has totaled 11.0 assists per game at home this year, ranking in the 100th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increases player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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