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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 4/8/2023

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has put up a whopping 9.8 assists per game this season, a big improvement over his 7.8 assists per game last season.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

At home, the Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player production across the board.

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