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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 3/16/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has posted 7.8 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
  • Nikola Jokic has played 32.1 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • With the home court advantage, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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