Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has compiled an impressive 10.0 assists per game this year, significantly more than his 7.8 assists per game last year.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).