Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 10.7 assists per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Nikola Jokic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (88th percentile).
While playing away from home, the Clippers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Clippers.

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