Nicolas Claxton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Nicolas Claxton

F-C · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2023

Updated Mar 19, 2023 12:51 PM EST

Analysis

Nicolas Claxton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nicolas Claxton has made 82.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 14.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, they have given up the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs over the last 15 games (15.3).
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nicolas Claxton has sunk 0.0% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 3rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games (8th-least in the league).