Nicolas Claxton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Nicolas Claxton

NBA · Player Props

Nicolas Claxton

F-C · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Nicolas Claxton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nicolas Claxton has successfully made 82.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 14.5% more than he's converted in all games this season.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for scoring; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (63.8%).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Nets.

Favors Under

Nicolas Claxton has successfully made 0.0% of his treys since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile among all players in the league.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Denver may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets are at home (13th-least in the NBA).
Nicolas Claxton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production for all stats.

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