Nicolas Claxton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2022

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NBA · Player Props

Nicolas Claxton

F-C · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 26, 2022

Updated Dec 26, 2022 2:53 PM EST

Analysis

Nicolas Claxton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nicolas Claxton has successfully made 92.1% of his field goals last 5 games on the road, 15.2% higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing away from home.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
While at home, the Cavaliers have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to the other team this year (which also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 22.2 foul shots per game this year (8th-most in the NBA).
The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a good one for shots from downtown; when guarding fellow starting Cs when playing at home this year, they have made a monstrous 1.1 three-pointers per game (4th percentile).

Favors Under

Nicolas Claxton has successfully made 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, placing him in the 0th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Nicolas Claxton has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled over this stretch of games.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (which can also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one; playing at home they have given up the 10th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (12.3).
Nicolas Claxton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production in all stat categories.