Nick Richards Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Nick Richards

NBA · Player Props

Nick Richards

C · Charlotte Hornets

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Nick Richards Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nick Richards has tallied 2.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
Nick Richards has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 4th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have brought down 8.8 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the 76ers (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).
Nick Richards is expected to see an increase in performance for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Nick Richards slots into the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Charlotte Hornets grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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