Nick Richards Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Nick Richards

NBA · Player Props

Nick Richards

C · Charlotte Hornets

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Nick Richards Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nick Richards has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 20th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nick Richards will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Nick Richards has averaged 1.0 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 16th percentile.
Nick Richards has played 8.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 9th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the league.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to decrease possessions for the Hornets.
On the road, the Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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