Nick Richards Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Nick Richards

C · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 7:12 PM EST

Analysis

Nick Richards Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nick Richards has played 29.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 4.5 higher than he's played overall this season at home.
The Orlando Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nick Richards will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Nick Richards has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Hornets rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.