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Naji Marshall

Naji Marshall Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Naji Marshall has converted 7.4 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's sunk overall this season away from his home court.

Naji Marshall has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 48.2% field goal rate without the home court advantage places 3rd-most in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive output.

The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Naji Marshall has sunk a lowly 24.7% of his shots from downtown this year, significantly less than his 43.2 mark last year.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Naji Marshall ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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