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Naji Marshall

Naji Marshall Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA at home with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Naji Marshall has successfully made 98.2% of his free throws at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Naji Marshall lands in the 15th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a subpar 22.8% rate this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage in terms of three-point attempts.

The matchup against Denver is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.1).

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