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Naji Marshall

Naji Marshall Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Lakers, making this a positive matchup.

The 6th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Naji Marshall comes in at the 90th percentile for foul-shot ability with a very good 89.5% rate this year.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are the visiting squad (4th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Naji Marshall lands in the 17th percentile for three-point effectiveness with an unimpressive 24.0% rate this year.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Mavericks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

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