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Naji Marshall

Naji Marshall Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Naji Marshall has sunk 57.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 28.5% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season without the home court advantage.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 1.9 3-pointers per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a good matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 7th-best in in the league on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

In comparison to last year's 80.7% clip, Naji Marshall's foul-shot proficiency has spiked this year to 90.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to 3-point attempts, the 8th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, struggling to get to the foul line.

Naji Marshall will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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