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Naji Marshall

Naji Marshall Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks

Naji Marshall Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Naji Marshall has converted an impressive 28.0% of his three-point attempts this year, a significant increase from his 16.3 rate last year.

Naji Marshall has averaged 30.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

This matchup is a strong one for threes; opposing teams have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home (32.6%).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Hawks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Naji Marshall has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (93rd percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

When playing away from home, the Hawks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a measly 25.9 free throws per game when the Hawks are away from home this year (4th-least in the NBA).

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