Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has sunk 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from three over the course of the season while playing away from home.
Myles Turner has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc converted against Kel'el Ware has been remarkably high (1.3 per game) when he is on his home court and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Myles Turner rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.8 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Heat).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.
The faceoff with Kel'el Ware in regard to getting to the free-throw line registers in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting only 2.4 free throws per game this year.
Myles Turner will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance across the board.