Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has posted 17.1 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 85th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Myles Turner places in the 80th percentile for field goal proficiency with a superb 52.1% rate this year.
The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner comes in at the 90th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, totaling a colossal 4.3 free throw attempts per game while on his home court this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner places in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 3.0 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The number of points scored against Jarrett Allen has been quite low (13.1 per game) when he is on the visiting team and facing opposing starting Cs this year (10th percentile).
The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Cavaliers).
As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 7th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 20.8 free throws per game.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jarrett Allen has been remarkably low this year (2.7 foul shot attempts per game: 17th percentile).