Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has averaged 21.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Myles Turner has converted 69.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 16.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
In terms of offense, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 123.7 points per game ranks most in the league this year.
The rate of shots sunk against Jonas Valanciunas has been very high (62.8%) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.9 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a massive 23.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the league).

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