Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 8:57 PM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has sunk 8.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted in all games this season playing at home.
As it relates to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 126.3 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a difficult one for scoring; opposing clubs have posted the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (44.8%).
The matchup against Kristaps Porzingis is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 2.2 threes per game (93rd percentile).
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game at home this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).