Miles Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Miles Bridges

NBA · Player Props

Miles Bridges

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Miles Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Miles Bridges has made 57.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 12.0% more than he's made from downtown overall this year while playing at home.
Miles Bridges has attempted 8.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Miles Bridges slots into the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 37.1 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on three-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The Hornets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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