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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Conley has converted 50.4% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 13.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.

Mike Conley has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley has made 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 more than he's put through the net in all games this year while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 15 games (14.4).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (13th-least in the league).

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