Mikal Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · New York Knicks

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs New York Knicks · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mikal Bridges has attempted 6.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Mikal Bridges has been on the court for 37.9 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a good matchup.
The New York Knicks will likely see a spike in plays today from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Pelicans).

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league away from home this year.
The New York Knicks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Mikal Bridges has converted 62.3% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home (least in the NBA).
Mikal Bridges will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.