Mikal Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-137/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mikal Bridges has attempted 9.3 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Mikal Bridges ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game this year.
The Nets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Mikal Bridges has converted 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 13.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges registers in the 86th percentile for technical fouls, posting a whopping 0.1 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to offense, the Nets's unimpressive 99.0 points per game places worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 15.1 points per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Hawks have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).