Mikal Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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Mikal Bridges

NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mikal Bridges has attempted 6.6 shots from downtown per game this season, a big improvement over his 5.4 mark last season.
Among all players in the league, Mikal Bridges registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year.
The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 14.8 field goal attempts per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Heat, designating this as a positive matchup.
When playing away from home, the Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 38.7% clip, Mikal Bridges's 3-point ability has tailed off this year to 28.6%.
Mikal Bridges has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
This year, opposing squads have averaged 38.5% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The 9th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

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