Mikal Bridges Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Mikal Bridges

NBA · Player Props

Mikal Bridges

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Mikal Bridges Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Nets.
The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Bucks may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 5.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a hard one for scoring; when the Bucks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (38.9%).
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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