Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-152/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 5.1 defensive boards per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the league in this category in recent days: 90th percentile.
Michael Porter Jr. has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

Favors Under

The Jazz have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should reduce plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 7thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Michael Porter Jr. will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.