Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 10:20 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has put up 7.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's put up in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 31.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Michael Porter Jr. stands to get a boost in production across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The Suns have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).