Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has totaled 5.9 defensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.4 minutes per game this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should boost plays for the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have snagged 13.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Pacers (continuing possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).
Michael Porter Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance for all stats.