Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · May 22, 2023

Updated May 23, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has totaled 7.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 3.0 higher than he's totaled in all games this year on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.5 more than he's played overall this year on the road.
The Lakers have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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