Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has compiled 7.8 defensive rebounds per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 29.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Playing at home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance across the board.

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