Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 5:32 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 6.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
While on the road, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).