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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games on their home court.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have compiled 12.1 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive production.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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