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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 92nd percentile for threes converted, tallying 2.6 per game this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 40.8% on 3-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, resulting in a favorable matchup.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 4thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted just 69.8% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 82.8 mark last year.

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