Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 89th percentile for field goals drained, posting a colossal 7.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile for three-pointers sunk when playing on the road, putting up 2.2 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.8 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Miami Heat are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (46.4%).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road.

Favors Under

In regard to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production across the board.

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