Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 57.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 5.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Michael Porter Jr. has converted 3.2 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's fantastic 122.3 points per game settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 25 games.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Rockets, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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