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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2025

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 6.9 shots made from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Nuggets have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 27.2% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, marking this as a difficult matchup.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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