Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has made 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one; when the Hawks are the visiting team, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (21.1).
The 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Compared to last year's 82.8% mark, Michael Porter Jr.'s free-throw performance has been reduced this year to 68.3%.

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