Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 7.4 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.2 3-point shots per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.6 minutes per game this year.
The Nuggets have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team.
The matchup against Washington is a good one for shots from the field; when the Washington Wizards are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 4th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (50.2%).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Michael Porter Jr. figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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