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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2024

Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 91st percentile for 3-pointers sunk, logging 2.7 per game this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 35.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) against the Knicks, resulting in a strong matchup.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).

In comparison to last season's 82.8% clip, Michael Porter Jr.'s free-throw effectiveness has declined this season to 59.6%.

Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, making it tough to draw fouls.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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