Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 23, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has made 7.1 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The 7th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Lakers).

Favors Under

The Nuggets have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.
Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 19th percentile for free-throw ability with a lackluster 64.6% rate this year.
The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).
Michael Porter Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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