Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 93rd percentile for three-pointers made while playing away from home, posting 2.6 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 31.8 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 24.0 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually lowers player production across the board.

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