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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 8.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's sunk overall this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 31.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile.
  • The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (47.0%).
  • The Denver Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Golden State Warriors).
  • The Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Nuggets have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The 2nd-most sluggish pace away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (maintaining possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).
  • Michael Porter Jr. figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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