Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 8.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 threes per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Kings, creating a strong matchup.
The Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

The slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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