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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.8 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Portland is a tough one; when the Trail Blazers are away from home, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (12.1).
  • The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
  • Over the last 25 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have grabbed 11.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (lengthening possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
  • As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's feeble 21.0 free throw attempts per game measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup vs. Portland is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game this year when the Trail Blazers are the visiting squad (12th-least in the NBA).

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