Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-143/+107).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 92nd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc without the home court advantage, registering 6.6 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 31.2 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Jazz, creating a positive matchup.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Nuggets have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while on the road this year.
The slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
The matchup against the Jazz is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the league).
Michael Porter Jr. stands to experience a decrease in production for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

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