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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 7.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on the road.
  • The Nuggets rank as the most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a whopping 100.0% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit higher than his 85.1 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have notched 11.0 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, creating a challenging matchup for offensive output.
  • The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 3rdworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • While playing at home, the Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (16.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Pelicans are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 23.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the NBA).

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