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Michael Porter Jr.
NBA · Player Props
Michael Porter Jr.
F · Denver Nuggets
Points
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 9, 2023 Updated Jun 10, 2023 12:36 AM EST
NBA Props Michael Porter Jr. Points

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.

Favors Over
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk an impressive 46.8% of his shots from the field this season, a significant increase from his 36.5 rate last season.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made a terrific 38.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, a significant increase from his 18.2 rate last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (17.6).
Favors Under
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
  • The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.
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