Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 13, 2025

Updated May 14, 2025 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+158/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a difficult matchup.
The 7th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Michael Porter Jr. ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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