Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Nuggets check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Michael Porter Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 27.2% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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